By  Ken Boehlke, CBS Sports Radio 1140
Las Vegas

The college football bowl season is upon us. With 40 games spread out over the next two weeks there is plenty of opportunity to add a little bonus to your holiday gift pile.  Our bowl picks series will let you know who we think will come out on top against the spread.  Find all our picks here.

Citrus Bowl
Florida vs. Michigan

Spread: Michigan -4
Total: 39

Spread: Two teams with so much promise yet really at no point (after Will Grier was suspended) did either appear to have a real shot at making a push for the National Title. Why? Because neither team is good enough offensively to overcome a few shortcomings on the other end. Jim Harbaugh did a wonderful job turning the Wolverines into a competitive team quickly, but he just doesn’t have the fire power on offense. Almost the exact same can be said about Jim McElwain and the Gators. Neither QB is reliable, both have had issues on the offensive line, and neither running game is consistent enough to lean on. Now, each offense has to face a suburb defense on the other side. This game is going to be incredibly ugly and it’s probably that the team with that scores the most when their defense is on the field will win the game. In ugly, low scoring games, especially at neutral sites, take the points and hope you don’t need a miraculous last drive to sneak in the back door. Pick: Florida +4

Total: One would think this game would be a dead under, but with the spread so low and Michigan’s seven game over streak, maybe the other side looks a bit more enticing. However, the trend for both Florida and Michigan games to go over the total is the number of points scored by the opposition, not by the Gators or Wolverines. There’s almost no logical way to predict either offense to move the ball which means it’s going to be a game of punts, turnovers, and special teams yardage. It’s rough picking a game to stay under 40 in college football, but these two offenses will be so over-matched by the defenses that there’s no way the over makes sense. Pick: Under 39 

Listen to Usually Wrong with Ken Boehlke on CBS Sports Radio 1140 every Sunday morning from 8 to 10. Follow the show on Twitter @SportsRadio1140

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