The college football bowl season is upon us. With 40 games spread out over the next two weeks there is plenty of opportunity to add a little bonus to your holiday gift pile. Our bowl picks series will let you know who we think will come out on top against the spread. Find all our picks here.
Houston vs. Florida State
Spread: Florida State -7
Spread: Florida State was a surprisingly overlooked team this season. After winning the National Championship two years ago and reaching the college football playoff a year later, one would have expected major hoopla surrounding this iteration of the Seminoles. However, they became almost an after thought following a wacky blocked field goal that cost them a game and then a close loss to semifinalist Clemson. What this all means is that this Florida State team is not only good, but really good. Of course losing Everett Golson will hurt the Seminoles, but they are still so far the superior team in this game that it comes down to just one thing, motivation. Houston is not even in the same zip code as Florida State talent wise so the Cougars will have to do it completely on grit and effort. There’s certainly a concern about how much this FSU team cares about a Peach Bowl being played just hours before the only bowl games that actually matter, but if the Seminoles even give a partial effort, they’ll run Houston off the field. FSU’s five game against the spread win streak is a good sign too. Pick: Florida State -7
Total: In the collective previous 11 games these two teams have played, the over has come in just twice. Both teams have really ramped it up defensively including the incredible 27-2 effort FSU put on rival Florida in their finale. Without Golson, Florida State will hand the ball to Dalvin Cook early and often. Assuming Cook doesn’t break off multiple 50+ yard TD runs, it’s going to take the Seminoles a little longer to score than normal. Houston puts up a ton of points, but the closest defense they’ve seen to this one is Temple, which they only scored 24 on (Houston averages 40). The Cougars most impressive effort of the year offensively was against Louisville. If that Cougar offense shows up in Georgia, this game will get to the number, but it’s hard to believe (once again assuming FSU cares to play the game) Houston will have the same success against this deep and talented Seminole D. Pick: Under 55
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