By Ryan Mayer
The college football bowl season is upon us. With 40 games spread out over the next two weeks there is plenty of opportunity to add a little bonus to your holiday gift pile. Our bowl picks series will let you know who we think will come out on top against the spread. All lines and totals courtesy of Sportsline/Bookmaker.eu. Find all our picks here.
All lines listed are as of publishing date. As always lines may change in the lead up to games so be sure to check.
Dollar General Bowl
Ohio vs. Troy
Spread: Troy -4
Spread: These two teams are statistically pretty similar. Troy averages 176 yards per game rushing (65th), Ohio averages 174.8 (67th). They both give up right around 22 points per game. The main differences are Ohio gives up more yardage against the pass and that’s probably Troy’s best aspect with QB Brandon Silvers (64.4% 2,951 yards 22 TDs). That said, Frank Solich’s squad just faced a pretty prolific passing attack in PJ Fleck’s Western Michigan squad in the MAC championship game and they were driving with a chance to win the game late.
Both teams have played close games throughout the year minus a few exceptions and there’s nothing here statistically that makes me think that trend will change in this outing. With that in mind, I’m going to stick with Ohio to cover, but Troy to come away with the win. So, for our purposes here, Ohio is the pick that matters. Ohio +4
Total: This is one of the lower totals on the board and that’s due to the defensive strength of these two teams. Tryo ranks 22nd in the country allowing 22 points per game and Ohio is 26th at 22.2 points per contest. That points to a lower scoring game and that 49 points, even while low, still feels a bit too high for the type of slugfest that I’m expecting this game to be. Under 49.
Ryan Mayer is an Associate Producer for CBS Local Sports. Ryan lives in NY but comes from Philly and life as a Philly sports fan has made him cynical. Anywhere sports are being discussed, that’s where you’ll find him.